CDOC - Female Realignment Recidivism Report, 2014
Download original document:
Document text
Document text
This text is machine-read, and may contain errors. Check the original document to verify accuracy.
7 California Department of Corrections And Rehabilitation Female Realignment Report An Examination of Female Offenders Released from State Prison in the First Year of Public Safety Realignment Office of Research May 2014 You can obtain reports by contacting the Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation at the following address: California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation Office of Research, Research and Evaluation Branch 1515 S Street, Suite 221-N Sacramento, California 95811 916.323.2919 Or On the World Wide Web at: http://www.cdcr.ca.gov/adult_research_branch/ CDCR Office of Research "Providing quality research, data analysis and evaluation to implement evidence-based programs and practices, strengthen policy, inform management decisions and ensure accountability." Produced by Office of Research, Research and Evaluation Branch Jeffrey A. Beard, Ph.D., Secretary Diana Toche, D.D.S., Undersecretary (A) Bryan Beyer, Director Office of Research G. Wayne Babby, Deputy Director (A) Denise Allen, Chief of Research Kevin Grassel, Research Program Specialist III Dionne Maxwell, Ph.D., Research Manager II Angela D. Broadus, Ph.D., Research Program Specialist II Matthew Nakao, Research Program Specialist I (A) Permission is granted to reproduce reports. For questions regarding the contents of this report, please contact Denise Allen, Chief Research and Evaluation Branch. Table of Contents 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 1 2 Demographics ........................................................................................................................................ 3 2.1 3 Cohort Demographic Comparisons ............................................................................................... 3 Outcomes ............................................................................................................................................... 7 3.1 Arrests ........................................................................................................................................... 7 3.1.1 Pre- and Post-Realignment One-Year Arrest Rates ................................................................. 8 3.1.2 Arrest Types ............................................................................................................................ 10 3.1.3 Number of Arrests per Person Released ................................................................................ 12 3.1.4 Number of Times Offenders Were Arrested ........................................................................... 13 3.2 Convictions .................................................................................................................................. 14 3.2.1 Pre- and Post-Realignment One-Year Conviction Rates ........................................................ 14 3.2.2 Conviction Types ..................................................................................................................... 15 3.2.3 Number of Times Offenders Were Convicted ......................................................................... 16 3.3 Returns to Prison ........................................................................................................................ 17 3.3.1 Pre- and Post-Realignment One-Year Return to Prison Rates .............................................. 17 3.3.2 Pre- and Post-Realignment Types of Returns to Prison ......................................................... 19 4 Data Quality ......................................................................................................................................... 20 5 Study Limitations .................................................................................................................................. 20 6 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................................... 20 7 References ........................................................................................................................................... 22 Appendix A One-Year Arrest Rates by County of Release Pre-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2010 and 9/30/2011) and Post-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2011 and 9/30/2012) ....... 24 Appendix B One-Year Conviction Rates by County of Release Pre-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2010 and 9/30/2011) and Post-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2011 and 9/30/2012) ....... 26 Appendix C One-Year Return to Prison Rates by County of Release Pre-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2010 and 9/30/2011) and Post-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2011 and 9/30/2012) ....... 28 List of Tables and Figures Tables Table 1. Pre- and Post-Realignment Release Cohort Characteristics ........................................................ 5 Table 2. One-Year Arrest Rates, Comparison Between Release Cohorts .................................................. 9 Table 3. Arrest Types, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ................................................................ 11 Table 4. Number of Arrests Per Person Released, Comparison Between Release Cohorts .................... 13 Table 5. Count of Arrest Cycles, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ................................................ 13 Table 6. One-Year Conviction Rates, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ......................................... 15 Table 7. Conviction Types, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ......................................................... 16 Table 8. New Convictions, Comparison Between Release Cohorts .......................................................... 17 Table 9. One-Year Return to Prison Rates, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ............................... 18 Table 10. Return Types, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ............................................................. 19 Figures Figure A: One-Year Arrest and Conviction Rates ........................................................................................ ii Figure B: Type of Return to State Prison .....................................................................................................iii Figure 1. One-Year Arrest Rates, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ................................................. 8 Figure 2. Arrest Types, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ............................................................... 10 Figure 3. Number of Arrests Per Person Released, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ................... 12 Figure 4. One-Year Conviction Rates, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ....................................... 14 Figure 5. Conviction Types, Comparison Between Release Cohorts ........................................................ 15 Figure 6. One-Year Return to Prison Rates, Comparison Between Release Cohorts .............................. 17 Figure 7. Return Types, Comparison Between Release Cohorts .............................................................. 19 Realignment Report i May 2014 Executive Summary Introduction California’s Public Safety Realignment Act of 2011 transferred jurisdiction and funding for managing lower-level criminal offenders from the State to the counties. Under Realignment, for example, certain lower level felons now serve their felony sentences in jail rather than prison. Realignment also changed California’s system of community corrections. Prior to Realignment, State parole agents supervised every female inmate released from prison, and parole violators could be revoked to State prison for up to one year. Since October 1, 2011, probation departments have administered a system of post-release community supervision (PRCS) to complement State parole. State parole agents continue to supervise high-risk sex offenders, lifers, and any other female offenders who are released from prison after having been incarcerated for a current/prior serious or violent crime. All other female inmates released from prison are placed on PRCS. No offenders received an early release from prison under Realignment. If offenders violate the terms of PRCS or State parole supervision, a range of sanctions may be used by counties, including a revocation term in jail. Only certain offenders are eligible for revocation to State prison. Prior Realignment research conducted by the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation (CDCR) evaluated all offenders. This report examines arrest, convictions, and returns to prison for female offenders pre- and post-Realignment. Female offenders have “distinct rehabilitative and health care needs, and are more likely to have suffered trauma and abuse prior to incarceration” (California Association of Drug Court Professionals, 2012). As such, CDCR is committed to providing gender-responsive programs and services to meet those needs and, ultimately, increase successful return to society for our female population. CDCR now has one year of releases and one full year of follow-up data to evaluate how female offenders released from prison during the first year after implementation have fared. Note that a more complete examination of Realignment’s impact on female offenders would require a three-year follow-up period. Methodology For this study, we identified two cohorts of female offenders: 1) the Pre-Realignment cohort of female offenders released between October 1, 2010 and September 30, 2011; and, 2) the Post-Realignment cohort of female offenders released between October 1, 2011 and September 30, 2012. One-year post-release recidivism rates were tracked for both cohorts to see if they were re-arrested, convicted of a new crime, or returned to State prison. Sound methodology and procedures were followed for this study; however, the study focuses on only one year of releases, representing an early stage of post-Realignment activity and implementation. Therefore, caution should be used when interpreting the findings. Key Findings Overall, data shows that there is very little difference between female offenders and their outcomes following release after completing their State prison term pre- and post-Realignment (Figure A). The post-Realignment arrest rate was slightly higher than pre-Realignment (1.5 percent), while the post-realignment conviction rate was slightly lower (1.2 percent). Realignment Report May 2014 Pre- and Post-Realignment One-Year Outcomes Arrests Figure A: One-Year Arrest and Conviction Rates Post-Realignment female offenders were arrested at a slightly higher rate on average than were pre-Realignment offenders (48.1 percent and 46.6 percent, respectively). Both female offender cohorts were more likely to be arrested for a felony than for a misdemeanor or supervision violation. In addition, there was a slight increase in the percent of pre-Realignment and post-Realignment felony arrests (42.8 percent and 43.0 percent, respectively). Post-Realignment offenders had fewer arrests for misdemeanors than did preRealignment offenders (22.2 percent and 26.9 percent, respectively), and more arrests for supervision violations (34.8 percent and 30.3 percent, respectively). The most common felony arrests for both cohorts were for drug and property crimes. Post-Realignment offenders had slightly more arrests per person on average than did the pre-Realignment offenders (1.14 and 0.93, respectively). This trend occurred for every month, except one (February 2012) after October 2011. Over half of the pre-Realignment and postRealignment female offenders had no arrests in the year after release (53.4 percent and 51.9 percent, respectively); while another third had one to two arrests (34.7 percent and 32.0 percent, respectively). However, post-Realignment female offenders were more likely than were pre-Realignment offenders to have a total of three or more arrests (16.1 percent and 11.8 percent, respectively). Convictions Post-Realignment female offenders were convicted of new crimes less often than were pre-Realignment offenders (16.7 percent and 17.9 percent, respectively). In addition, there was a downward trend for these offenders over the time span studied. Of those who did not recidivate within the first year after release, a higher percentage were post-Realignment than preRealignment female offenders (83.3 percent and 82.1 percent, respectively). In addition, fewer than 20 percent of offenders from either cohort had one conviction (15.2 percent and 13.8 percent, respectively). However, the post-Realignment cohort was slightly more likely than was the pre-Realignment cohort to have two or more new convictions (2.8 percent vs. 2.7 percent). Post-Realignment female offenders were more likely to be convicted of a felony than were pre-Realignment offenders (59.9 percent and 54.5 percent, respectively); however, for both cohorts the most common felony convictions were for drug and property crimes. ii Realignment Report iii May 2014 Returns to Prison Post-Realignment female offenders returned to prison at a significantly lower rate than did pre-Realignment offenders (2.6 percent and 20.3 percent, respectively), an intended effect of Realignment. Post-Realignment, all of the female offenders who returned to prison did so for a new conviction rather than a parole violation. Because of Realignment, only certain offenders are eligible to return to prison on a parole violation (e.g., third strikers, mentally disordered offenders). Figure B: Type of Return to State Prison and 1.3 percent, respectively). However, population percentages for Native American/Alaskan Native and Other groups are similar both pre- and post-Realignment. The majority of releases were first releases, determinately sentenced, not committed for a serious or violent crime, and not required to register as a sex offender. Over half had no correctional mental health designation, but approximately 40 percent in both cohorts were under the Correctional Clinical Case Management System. Based on the California Static Risk Assessment, the percent of offenders with low and medium risk levels increased slightly from pre- to post-Realignment (3.3 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively), while the percent of high risk offenders decreased (3.3 percent). The post-Realignment cohort had slightly more offenders whose current commitment offense was serious or violent than the pre-Realignment cohort (19.6 percent and 14.5 percent, respectively). Demographic and Offender Characteristics The post-Realignment and pre-Realignment groups appear similar demographically with minor changes in the composition of age and race. The post-Realignment cohort has fewer offenders than the pre-Realignment cohort in the 25-29 age group (16.7 percent and 18.4 percent, respectively), and more female offenders age 45 and older than does the pre-Realignment cohort (25.7 percent and 24.0 percent, respectively). Post-Realignment female offenders are less likely to be White than are pre-Realignment offenders (36.8 percent and 37.4 percent, respectively), and slightly more likely to be Hispanic (32.7 percent and 32.5 percent, respectively), Black (26.1 percent and 25.9 percent, respectively), or Asian (1.5 percent Realignment Report 1 May 2014 California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation Female Realignment Report An Examination of Female Offenders Released from State Prison in the First Year of Public Safety Realignment 1 Introduction On October 1, 2011, the State of California and its counties were tasked with implementing one of the most significant changes in the history of the State’s criminal justice system. California’s Public Safety Realignment Act of 2011 (hereafter referred to as Realignment), revised the definition of a felony to include certain crimes punishable by more than one year in jail. Individuals convicted of non-serious,1 non-violent,2 non-sex registrant3 (non-non-non) crimes may now be sentenced to county jail and/or alternative custody programs4 instead of State prison. As such, Realignment reserves state prison for those with serious or violent convictions (current or prior), sex registrants, and a few other offense types (e.g., battery against a juror, sale of a person for immoral purposes). The intent of Realignment is to encourage counties to develop and implement evidence-based practices and alternatives to incarceration to limit future crimes and reduce victimization. This is particularly important for female offenders who represent a unique population within corrections. Over 60 percent of these females may be mothers with minor children (Glaze and Maruschak, 2010), resulting in far-reaching, destabilization for more than just the females who violated the law. Recognition of the potential long-term impact of incarceration has prompted advocacy for alternatives to incarceration (Covington and Bloom, 2006; and Saar, Bisnott, and Mathon-Mathieu, 2010). Notably, prior to Realignment, California already was one of 32 states offering alternatives to incarceration for women with minor children (Saar, Bisnott, and Mathon-Mathieu, 2010), and this issue is further addressed through the intent of Realignment. A premise of Realignment is that provision of community-based support services would increase offenders’ potential to re-integrate successfully into their communities. This also is particularly important for female offenders who are more likely to be minority, lower socio-economic status, lack education and employment, and suffer from a history of substance dependence and domestic and/or sexual victimization (Covington and Bloom, 2006; Hardyman & Van Voorhis, 2004, and Wright, Van Voorhis, Salisbury, and Bauman, 2012). In addition, the path to criminality may differ from that of men resulting in a greater percentage of nonviolent, property and substance-related crimes (Wright et al, 2012). According to the National Women’s Law Center (Saar, Bisnott, and Mathon-Mathieu, 2010), “females have borne a disproportionate burden of the war on drugs, resulting in a monumental increase of females who are facing incarceration for the first time, overwhelmingly for non-violent offenses” (p. 5). Recognition of these qualitative differences in female offenders has resulted in advocacy for gender-responsive treatment in and out of prison (Bloom, Owen, and Covington, 2002; Covington and Bloom, 2006; Saar, Bisnott, and Mathon-Mathieu, 2010). 1 Serious offenses are defined in Penal Code (PC) § 1192.7(c) and 1192.8. Violent offenses are defined in PC § 667.7(c). 3 Offenses requiring sex offender registration are defined in PC § 290. 4 Offenders may be sentenced to serve their entire time in county jail or may be sentenced to serve time split between county jail and probation supervision. 2 Realignment Report May 2014 Under PRCS, offenders released from State custody can be placed under a county-directed PRCS program (instead of the State’s parole system) for up to three years. All 58 counties designated their probation departments as the agency responsible for PRCS. State parole agents continue to supervise high-risk sex offenders, lifers, and any other offenders who are released from prison after having been incarcerated for a current serious or violent crime. If offenders violate the terms of PRCS or State parole supervision, a range of sanctions may be used by counties including reprimand, adding new release conditions and reporting requirements, flash incarceration, or, if a court agrees, a revocation. Only certain offenders5 are eligible to be revoked to State prison. Offenders Tracked in this Report This report evaluates the impact of Realignment on female offenders by comparing the rates of arrest, conviction, and returns to prison after completing their State prison term in the first year of Realignment with those released one year earlier. To evaluate the impact of Realignment, two groups were created: 1) A pre-Realignment parolee release cohort that includes all female offenders released from a CDCR State prison between October 1, 2010, and September 30, 2011, and 2) A post-Realignment parolee release cohort that includes all female offenders released from a CDCR State prison between October 1, 2011, and September 30, 2012.6 Only the first release within the year for these offenders was counted. The post-Realignment cohort includes females on State parole and PRCS, but not probationers released from county jail or supervised in lieu of prison or jail (i.e., non-non-non offenders). This report, therefore, tracks all female State parolees, but only a subset of those supervised by local probation departments. Demographic, arrest, conviction, and return to prison information is provided for female offenders released from CDCR during the first year of Realignment (October to December 2011; and January to September 2012) as more than one year has elapsed since their release. This length of time allows for a sufficient amount of follow-up time to observe their behavior in the community. The same information is provided for offenders released from CDCR during the year immediately prior to Realignment (October to December 2010; and January to September 2011) for comparison purposes. Data from CDCR’s Offender-Based Information System were used to create the two groups of female offenders released from State prison pre- and post-Realignment, and to capture their demographic information. The Department of Justice (DOJ), Criminal Justice Information System, California Law Enforcement Telecommunications System, was used to capture arrest and conviction data. Data derived from this system also were used to compute California Static Risk Assessment (CSRA) scores at the time of release. Measuring Arrests, Convictions, and Returns to Prison Reoffending (also referred to as recidivism) may be measured using various methods. To provide a comprehensive view of how female offenders fared following their release from prison, 5 6 Offenses eligible for revocation back to State prison are defined in PC § 3000(b) (4), 3000.08(h), and 3000.1. Offenders whose supervision status changed after 30 days post-release (i.e., from parole to PRCS or vice versa) were excluded from the analysis for the post-Realignment cohort. 2 Realignment Report May 2014 this report tracked them in three ways. First, it tracked females released from prison and subsequently arrested for a misdemeanor, felony or supervision violation within the one-year period following their release. Second, it tracked females released from prison and then convicted of a new crime, whether a misdemeanor or a felony, within the one-year period following their release.7 Finally, it tracked female offenders released and then returned to prison for a parole violation or new crime within the one-year period following their release. Only the first arrest or conviction episode, as well as the most serious charge within the first arrest or conviction episode, was counted (i.e., if an offender was arrested multiple times, incurring multiple charges each time, only the most serious arrest charge within the first arrest episode was counted in these analyses). Individuals also were tracked if they released to parole/PRCS, discharged after being paroled or placed onto PRCS, or directly discharged from CDCR during a specified period. Rate calculation used the ratio of the number of felons in the cohort who were arrested/convicted/returned to prison during the period studied to the total number of felons in the cohort, multiplied by 100. Arrest/Conviction/ = Returned to Prison Rates Number Arrested/Convicted/Returned to Prison X 100 Number in Cohort 2 Demographics The pre-Realignment cohort is comprised of 8,540 female offenders released from CDCR between October 1, 2010, and September 30, 2011. The post-Realignment cohort is comprised of 5,232 female offenders released from CDCR between October 1, 2011, and September 30, 2012. There was a 38.7 percent decrease in releases between the two years. This was expected given that almost all of the releases in the post-Realignment cohort had offenses that make them ineligible to return to prison on a parole violation and be subsequently re-released. In both cohorts, the majority of releases were first releases. The post-Realignment cohort, however, had more first releases proportionally (85.1 percent) as compared to the preRealignment cohort (72.6 percent). 2.1 Cohort Demographic Comparisons The demographic characteristics of the pre- and post-Realignment groups are presented in Table 1. These data suggest that the pre- and post-Realignment cohorts differ in some demographic areas and are similar in others. About two-thirds of releases for both cohorts are between 25 and 44 years old (66.7 percent and 65.2 percent, respectively), just under 10 percent are under age 20 (9.3 percent and 9.1 percent, respectively), and approximately one-fourth are age 45 and older (24.0 percent and 25.7 percent, respectively). However, the proportion of female offenders in each age group over age 49 is larger than in the comparison pre-Realignment group (e.g., age 50-54, 7.4 percent and 8.1 percent, respectively). This suggests an older female population than found with the pre-Realignment group. 7 To calculate arrest and conviction one-year recidivism rates, each offender was tracked using DOJ data for 365 days following their first release. Accordingly, any offender without a DOJ record was excluded from all analyses. This resulted in the exclusion of 2,583 offenders who were almost evenly split between the pre-Realignment cohort (1,205 excluded) and post-Realignment cohort (1,378 excluded). 3 Realignment Report May 2014 The largest racial/ethnic group for pre- and post-Realignment offenders is White (37.4 percent and 36.8 percent, respectively), followed by Hispanic/Latina (32.5 percent and 32.7 percent, respectively), and then Black/African-American (25.9 percent and 26.1 percent, respectively). The proportion of post-Realignment White female offenders is 0.6 percent lower than found in the pre-Realignment group (37.4 percent and 36.8 percent, respectively), while the combined percentages of all remaining female offender groups (Hispanic/Latina, Black/African American, Native American/Alaska Native, Asian, Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander, and Other) are 0.6 percent higher in the post-Realignment than in the pre-Realignment cohort. The post-Realignment proportions for commitment offense categories remain similar to that of the pre-Realignment cohort. The most common commitment offense category is for property crimes, with a 1.7 percent decrease from the pre-Realignment to the post-Realignment groups (47.9 percent and 46.2 percent, respectively). The next most frequent commitment offense category is for drug crimes. In this category, there were 1.7 percent fewer female offenders in the post-Realignment than the pre-Realignment group (30.0 percent and 28.3 percent, respectively), followed by crimes against persons with a 3.3 percent increase from the pre- to post-Realignment cohorts (15.4 percent and 18.7 percent, respectively). These cohort changes are expected given that Realignment resulted in the movement of offenders with less serious crimes to community-level custody. Over 80 percent of both cohorts do not have a serious or violent commitment offense. Nevertheless, the percent of female offenders having had a serious or violent commitment offense increased 5.1 percent from the pre- to post-Realignment cohorts (14.5 percent and 19.6 percent, respectively). Less than two percent of either cohort are sex registrants. Over 90 percent of both cohorts had served a determinate sentence, with fewer than 10 percent indeterminately sentenced as “second-strikers” or “lifers.” However, the post-Realignment cohort of female offenders indeterminately sentenced as “second-strikers” was 2.4 percent higher than found in the pre-Realignment cohort (5.6 percent and 8.0 percent, respectively), and 0.3 percent more female offenders were serving life in the post-Realignment group (0.3 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively). Over half in each cohort did not have a mental health designation. Approximately 40 percent had participated in the Correctional Clinical Case Management System (CCCMS),8 with 2.7 percent more designated as CCCMS in the post-Realignment cohort than in the pre-Realignment cohort (37.6 percent and 40.3 percent, respectively). In addition, approximately 4 percent in both cohorts had participated in the Enhanced Outpatient Program.9 Approximately a third of female offenders have high CSRA scores (mostly for property), followed by medium and then low CSRA scores.10,11 8 The CCCMS facilitates mental health care by linking inmate/patients to needed services and providing sustained support while accessing such services. CCCMS services are provided as outpatient services within the general population setting at all institutions. 9 A mental health services designation applied to a severely mentally ill inmate receiving treatment at a level similar to day treatment services. 10 The CSRA is a tool used to calculate an offender’s risk of being convicted of a new offense after release from prison. Based on their criminal history, offenders are designated as having either a low, medium, or high risk of being convicted of a new offense after release. For more information about the CSRA, visit the University of California, Irvine, Center for Evidence-Based Corrections web site at http://ucicorrections.seweb.uci.edu/sites/ucicorrections.seweb.uci.edu/files/CSRA%20Working%20Pap er_0.pdf. 11 CSRA scores are calculated only for those offenders who have automated criminal history data available from the Department of Justice. 4 Realignment Report May 2014 Table 1 also depicts the top 12 counties, to which the largest numbers of female offenders were released, with the remaining counties grouped into the “All Others” category. Both groups have an almost identical distribution of offenders across these top 12 counties. Los Angeles received the largest proportion of female offenders, followed by San Bernardino for both cohorts. Table 1. Pre- and Post-Realignment Release Cohort Characteristics Pre-Realignment Released Between 10/01/2010 and 09/30/2011 Characteristics Post-Realignment Released Between 10/01/2011 and 09/30/2012 N % N % Total 8,540 100.0 5,232 100.0 Release Type First Release Re-Release 6,200 2,340 72.6 27.4 4,451 781 85.1 14.9 Age at Release 18-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60 and over 19 774 1,571 1,624 1,234 1,273 1,093 631 214 107 0.2 9.1 18.4 19.0 14.4 14.9 12.8 7.4 2.5 1.3 14 463 872 1,004 755 777 701 426 155 65 0.3 8.8 16.7 19.2 14.4 14.9 13.4 8.1 3.0 1.2 Race/Ethnicity White Hispanic/Latina Black/African American Native American/Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Other 3,194 2,772 2,212 94 110 36 122 37.4 32.5 25.9 1.1 1.3 0.4 1.4 1,926 1,712 1,363 56 77 23 75 36.8 32.7 26.1 1.1 1.5 0.4 1.4 Commitment Offense Category Crimes Against Persons Property Crimes Drug Crimes Other Crimes 1,316 4,093 2,565 566 15.4 47.9 30.0 6.6 976 2,415 1,483 358 18.7 46.2 28.3 6.8 Serious and/or Violent Yes No 1,240 7,300 14.5 85.5 1,026 4,206 19.6 80.4 Continued 5 Realignment Report May 2014 Table 1. Pre- and Post-Realignment Release Cohort Characteristics (Continued) Sex Registration Flag Yes No 109 8,431 1.3 98.7 60 5,172 1.1 98.9 Sentence Type Second Striker Determinate Sentence Law Life 480 8,031 29 5.6 94.0 0.3 420 4,780 32 8.0 91.4 0.6 Mental Health Status Enhanced Outpatient Program Correctional Clinical Case Management System No Mental Health Code 343 4.0 216 4.1 3,212 4,985 37.6 58.4 2,106 2,910 40.3 55.6 CSRA Risk Score Low Medium High Violent Property Drug NA 2,370 2,869 3,298 95 2,366 837 3 27.8 33.6 38.6 1.1 27.7 9.8 0.0 1,613 1,771 1,846 60 1,363 423 2 30.8 33.8 35.3 1.1 26.1 8.1 0.0 County of Release Alameda Fresno Kern Los Angeles Orange Riverside Sacramento San Bernardino San Diego San Joaquin Santa Clara Stanislaus All Others 157 300 378 2,469 618 546 382 851 592 190 284 144 1,629 1.8 3.5 4.4 28.9 7.2 6.4 4.5 10.0 6.9 2.2 3.3 1.7 19.1 70 187 240 1,651 290 341 228 530 380 111 142 84 978 1.3 3.6 4.6 31.6 5.5 6.5 4.4 10.1 7.3 2.1 2.7 1.6 18.7 6 Realignment Report May 2014 3 Outcomes Female offenders in the pre- and post-Realignment one-year release cohorts were tracked following their first release from prison to determine if they incurred any new arrests or convictions, or were returned to prison, within 365 days of their release. The majority of releases were first releases, determinately sentenced, not currently committed for a serious or violent crime, not required to register as a sex offender, and had no correctional mental health designation. California Static Risk Assessment (CSRA) scores for the pre-Realignment cohort revealed that just under 40 percent were at high risk for recidivism (38.6 percent), while approximately a third were at medium risk (33.6 percent), and less than a third were at low risk (27.8 percent). A slightly lower percentage of post-Realignment female offenders were at high risk for recidivism (35.3 percent), while slightly more were at medium (33.8 percent) and low (30.8 risk). 3.1 Arrests New arrests include any formal contact with the criminal justice system that has resulted in an arrest, including arrests that did not result in the filing of formal charges or a conviction. Notably, there was a change in the processing of parole violations which affects the difference between the pre- and post-Realignment arrest rates.12 Prior to Realignment, parole violators could be returned directly to prison without incurring an arrest or spending any time in a county facility. Post-Realignment, parole violators are usually arrested and booked into a county jail as they are now rarely returned to prison. The exception to this is for third strikers, mentally disordered offenders, offenders with a current violent or serious commitment offense, high-risk sex offenders (as defined by CDCR), and those who were on parole prior to October 1, 2011. 12 To ensure comparability between the release cohorts, the difference in processing parole violators pre- and post-Realignment was accounted for by ensuring that an arrest was identified for all parole violators who were returned to custody. 7 Realignment Report May 2014 3.1.1 Pre- and Post-Realignment One-Year Arrest Rates Figure 1. One-Year Arrest Rates, Comparison between Release Cohorts Figure 1 and Table 2 show that, compared to the prior cohort, the average one-year arrest rates (i.e., their first arrest within one year) for female offenders released during the first year of Realignment is slightly higher than the comparison group released prior to Realignment (46.6 and 48.1 percent, respectively). Both cohorts showed marked variability in arrest rates across the study period; however, there was an overall decline from the first (October) to the last month (September) post-release (12.5 percent and 7.5 percent, respectively). Appendix A presents the one-year arrest rates for each county. 8 Realignment Report May 2014 Table 2. One-Year Arrest Rates, Comparison between Release Cohorts Month Released October November December January February March April May June July August September One-Year Total Pre-Realignment Released Arrested N N % 853 442 51.8% 830 396 47.7% 887 476 53.7% 740 356 48.1% 686 332 48.4% 779 348 44.7% 670 321 47.9% 648 291 44.9% 636 273 42.9% 603 259 43.0% 633 256 40.4% 575 226 39.3% 8,540 3,976 46.6% Post-Realignment Released Arrested N N % 733 385 52.5% 584 299 51.2% 676 351 51.9% 563 295 52.4% 446 190 42.6% 447 200 44.7% 382 170 44.5% 325 156 48.0% 339 154 45.4% 297 127 42.8% 222 94 42.3% 218 98 45.0% 5,232 2,519 48.1% 9 Realignment Report May 2014 3.1.2 Arrest Types13 Figure 2. Arrest Types, Comparison between Release Cohorts Figure 2 and Table 3 present the types of arrests for which offenders in each cohort were charged. For the pre-Realignment cohort, felonies were the most common type of offense for which offenders were re-arrested (42.8 percent), followed by supervision violations (30.3 percent), and misdemeanor offenses (26.9 percent). For the post-Realignment cohort, felonies were the most common type of offense for which offenders were re-arrested (43.0 percent), followed by supervision violations (34.8 percent), then misdemeanor offenses (22.2 percent). From pre- to post-Realignment, arrests for felonies remained stable while there was a decline in arrests for misdemeanor crimes (4.7 percent) with a corresponding increase in supervision violations (4.5 percent). Most of the decreases in misdemeanor arrests were due to declines in misdemeanor crimes for drug/alcohol (3.4 percent) with smaller declines in arrests for property or person-related crimes. 13 Figure 2 and Table 3 show only the type of arrest for those where the arrest code could be mapped to an arrest category (i.e., felony, misdemeanor, or supervision violation). Less than 2 percent of cases could not be mapped due to a missing or unidentifiable arrest code. 10 Realignment Report May 2014 Table 3. Arrest Types, Comparison between Release Cohorts Type of Arrest All Felonies Felony Person Felony Property Felony Drug/Alcohol Felony Other Felony Unknown All Misdemeanors Misdemeanor Person Misdemeanor Property Misdemeanor Drug/Alcohol Misdemeanor Other Misdemeanor Unknown All Supervision Violations Total Pre-Realignment N 1,697 221 716 688 60 12 1,067 200 217 519 44 87 1,203 3,967 % 42.8% 5.6% 18.0% 17.3% 1.5% 0.3% 26.9% 5.0% 5.5% 13.1% 1.1% 2.2% 30.3% 100.0% Post-Realignment N 1,062 164 424 385 50 39 549 120 114 239 42 34 859 2,470 % 43.0% 6.6% 17.2% 15.6% 2.0% 1.6% 22.2% 4.9% 4.6% 9.7% 1.7% 1.4% 34.8% 100.0% 11 Realignment Report May 2014 3.1.3 Number of Arrests per Person Released Figure 3. Number of Arrests per Person Released, Comparison between Release Cohorts The number of arrests per female offender released is depicted in Figure 3 and Table 4. The 12-month per person arrest rate presented by the two cohorts differs somewhat dramatically. First, the post-Realignment cohort had a slightly higher arrest rate per person throughout the study period, with the exception of one month (February). Next, the pre-Realignment cohort showed a general decline with one month of increased rates (December 2010). The 12-month per person arrest rate for post-Realignment female offenders also showed an overall decline, but with greater variability. The average one-year arrest rate per person increased 0.21 per person from pre- to post-Realignment (0.93 and 1.14, respectively, Table 4). 12 Realignment Report May 2014 Table 4. Number of Arrests per Person Released, Comparison between Release Cohorts Pre-Realignment Number Total Arrest Rate Released Arrests Per Person 853 871 1.02 830 785 0.95 887 999 1.13 740 712 0.96 686 681 0.99 779 697 0.89 670 614 0.92 648 561 0.87 636 549 0.86 603 521 0.86 633 520 0.82 575 431 0.75 8,540 7,941 0.93 Month Released October November December January February March April May June July August September One-Year Total Post-Realignment Number Total Arrest Rate Released Arrests Per Person 733 955 1.30 584 793 1.36 676 865 1.28 563 697 1.24 446 420 0.94 447 461 1.03 382 367 0.96 325 357 1.10 339 321 0.95 297 265 0.89 222 231 1.04 218 220 1.01 5,232 5,952 1.14 3.1.4 Number of Times Offenders Were Arrested The number of times female offenders in the pre- and post-Realignment one-year cohorts were arrested is depicted in Table 5. Over half of the female offenders released pre- and post-Realignment had no arrests within one year of release (53.4 percent and 51.9 percent, respectively). Of those who were arrested, over a third from both cohorts were arrested from one to two times. In addition, female offenders in the post-Realignment cohort were slightly more likely than the pre-Realignment cohort to have been arrested three or more times (16.1 percent and 11.8 percent, respectively). Table 5. Count of Arrest Cycles, Comparison between Release Cohorts Pre-Realignment Count of Arrest Cycles Total 0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ N 8,540 4,564 1,963 1,003 511 266 123 110 % 100.0% 53.4% 23.0% 11.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.4% 1.3% Post-Realignment N 5,232 2,713 1,003 672 369 230 112 133 % 100.0% 51.9% 19.2% 12.8% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 2.5% 13 Realignment Report May 2014 3.2 Convictions New convictions include only those found guilty of the charge(s) for which they were arrested. Only the first conviction within the year following release is counted. Convictions that occurred after one year are not counted even if the arrest was within the first year. 3.2.1 Pre- and Post-Realignment One-Year Conviction Rates Figure 4. One-Year Conviction Rates, Comparison between Release Cohorts Figure 4 and Table 6 show trends in the one-year conviction rates. The pre-Realignment cohort had similar or slightly higher conviction rates than the post-Realignment cohort from October 2010 to June 2011. In addition, the pre-Realignment cohort showed minimal variability across the study period, with somewhat lower conviction rates in the latter third of the period (June 2011 to September 2011) compared with the first third (October 2010 to January 2011). The post-Realignment cohort showed more variability over the 12 months and had lower conviction rates than the pre-Realignment cohort for all months except October and November 2011, and June 2012. There is a 1.2 percent decrease in the average conviction rates from the pre- to post-Realignment cohorts (17.9 percent and 16.7 percent, respectively). Appendix B presents the one-year conviction rates for each county. 14 Realignment Report May 2014 Table 6. One-Year Conviction Rates, Comparison between Release Cohorts Month Released October November December January February March April May June July August September One-Year Total Pre-Realignment Released Convicted N N % 853 165 19.3% 830 151 18.2% 887 181 20.4% 740 141 19.1% 686 119 17.3% 779 129 16.6% 670 119 17.8% 648 118 18.2% 636 104 16.4% 603 105 17.4% 633 105 16.6% 575 93 16.2% 8,540 1,530 17.9% Post-Realignment Released Convicted N N % 733 150 20.5% 584 116 19.9% 676 117 17.3% 563 106 18.8% 446 59 13.2% 447 71 15.9% 382 53 13.9% 325 50 15.4% 339 56 16.5% 297 45 15.2% 222 24 10.8% 218 25 11.5% 5,232 3.2.2 Conviction Types Figure 5. Conviction Types, Comparison between Release Cohorts 872 16.7% 15 Realignment Report May 2014 Figure 5 and Table 7 reveal an expected Realignment-based shift in the type of convictions offenders are receiving, with a higher proportion of felony convictions occurring post-Realignment than pre-Realignment (59.9 percent and 54.5 percent, respectively). This was primarily due to a 3.8 percent increase in “Felony Property” convictions and an approximate 1.1 percent increase in “Felony Drug/Alcohol” convictions. The pattern of felony conviction types is consistent across the pre- and post-Realignment cohorts with “Felony Drug/Alcohol” as the most common conviction type, followed by “Felony Property” convictions, and then “Felony Person” convictions across all periods studied. Table 7. Conviction Types, Comparison between Release Cohorts Type of Conviction All Felonies Felony Person Felony Property Felony Drug/Alcohol Felony Other Felony Unknown All Misdemeanors Misdemeanor Person Misdemeanor Property Misdemeanor Drug/Alcohol Misdemeanor Other Misdemeanor Unknown Total Pre-Realignment Post-Realignment N 834 47 344 409 24 10 % 54.5% 3.1% 22.5% 26.7% 1.6% 0.7% N 522 35 229 242 8 8 % 59.9% 4.0% 26.3% 27.8% 0.9% 0.9% 696 144 216 275 14 47 1,530 45.5% 9.4% 14.1% 18.0% 0.9% 3.1% 100.0% 350 84 108 120 9 29 872 40.1% 9.6% 12.4% 13.8% 1.0% 3.3% 100.0% 3.2.3 Number of Times Offenders Were Convicted Examination of the number of times offenders released in the first year of Realignment received new convictions (Table 8) shows that most female offenders in the pre- and post-Realignment cohorts were not convicted of new crimes within one year of release (82.1 and 83.3 percent, respectively). The percent of post-Realignment female offenders with one new conviction was 1.4 percent lower than for pre-Realignment female offenders (15.2 percent and 13.8 percent, respectively), while the percent of those with 2 or more new convictions was similar across both cohorts (2.7 percent and 2.8 percent, respectively). 16 Realignment Report May 2014 Table 8. New Convictions, Comparison between Release Cohorts Pre-Realignment Count of Conviction Cycles Total 0 1 2 3+ N 8,540 7,010 1,300 194 36 % 100.0% 82.1% 15.2% 2.3% 0.4% Post-Realignment N 5,232 4,360 724 125 23 % 100.0% 83.3% 13.8% 2.4% 0.4% 3.3 Returns to Prison The rate at which offenders return to State prison is the final area examined. Returns to prison is the measure that is most impacted by Realignment as parole violators, who have traditionally comprised almost half of all returns to prison within a year, may now only return after being convicted of a new crime. Only certain offenders are eligible to be revoked to State prison.14 Furthermore, offenders who are convicted of certain non-non-non offenses who would previously have been sent to State prison will now serve the entirety of their sentence in local jails, further reducing the number of offenders entering State prison. Only the first return to prison following release is counted. 3.3.1 Pre- and Post-Realignment One-Year Return to Prison Rates Figure 6. One-Year Return to Prison Rates, Comparison between Release Cohorts 14 Offenses eligible for revocation back to State prison are defined in PC § 3000(b) (4), 3000.08(h), and 3000.1. 17 Realignment Report May 2014 Figure 6 and Table 9 show the dramatic impact of Realignment since parole violators are no longer returned to State prison and many who commit certain non-non-non offenses remain under County jurisdiction. From October 2011 through September 2012, an average of 2.6 percent of female offenders returned to State prison within one year of release post-Realignment. This is drastically lower than the pre-Realignment return to prison rates, which averaged 20.3 percent. Table 9. One-Year Return to Prison Rates, Comparison between Release Cohorts Month Released October November December January February March April May June July August September One-Year Total Pre-Realignment Released Returned N N % 853 268 31.4% 830 260 31.3% 887 275 31.0% 740 176 23.8% 686 180 26.2% 779 150 19.3% 670 123 18.4% 648 92 14.2% 636 85 13.4% 603 63 10.4% 633 37 5.8% 575 23 4.0% 8,540 1,732 20.3% Post-Realignment Released Returned N N % 733 22 3.0% 584 8 1.4% 676 20 3.0% 563 14 2.5% 446 11 2.5% 447 9 2.0% 382 9 2.4% 325 9 2.8% 339 10 2.9% 297 9 3.0% 222 8 3.6% 218 9 4.1% 5,232 138 2.6% 18 Realignment Report May 2014 3.3.2 Pre- and Post-Realignment Types of Returns to Prison Figure 7. Return Types, Comparison between Release Cohorts As expected, Figure 7 and Table 10 illustrate that the primary reason offenders are now returned to prison is due to a new conviction. In 2010, 25.2 percent of the pre-Realignment cohort returned to prison for a new term and the remaining 74.8 percent returned for a parole violation. Post-Realignment, all female offenders who returned did so due to a new conviction. In fact, the number of parole violators decreased from 1,296 (October 2010 to September 2011) to zero offenders (October 2011 to September 2012). The lack of parole violators being returned to prison is an indicator that Realignment is working as intended, as well as support for the theory that a greater percentage of female than male offenders commit nonviolent, property and substance-related crimes. The vast majority of all parole violators are now sent to county jails instead of prison. Table 10. Return Types, Comparison between Release Cohorts Pre-Realignment Type of Return New Conviction Parole Violation Total N 436 1,296 1,732 % 25.2% 74.8% 100.0% Post-Realignment N 138 0 138 % 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 19 Realignment Report May 2014 4 Data Quality Data quality is of paramount importance with all data analyses performed by the CDCR Office of Research. The intent of this report is to provide “summary statistical” (aggregate) rather than “individual-level” information. All calculations in this report are based on the data available and are limited by the quality of the data sources. 5 Study Limitations This report examines only the first year of Realignment, which makes it difficult to generalize about possible trends. This time period is also likely not representative of the impact of Realignment as a whole because it reflects only the beginning of implementation, a period undoubtedly marked by some degree of adjustment as the State and local government embarked on significant changes to its criminal justice system. Additionally, this study period is likely not representative of Realignment’s eventual impact, as there are still significant milestones that need to be accomplished on the part of the counties in terms of providing rehabilitative programming to parolees. Many counties are at the beginning stages of program design, with program implementation to follow. The arrest, conviction, and return to prison data presented here are not directly comparable to those presented in the annual CDCR Outcome Evaluation Reports, especially the 2013 Outcome Evaluation Report, which tracks the entire Fiscal Year 2008 – 2009 release cohort, regardless of offender sex. The FY 2008 – 2009 cohort has eight months of overlap following the implementation of Realignment, meaning that these female offenders in the final eight months of the three-year recidivism follow-up time frame could not be returned to prison for a parole violation except for a very limited set of conditions.15 This may influence the recidivism rates for those female offenders. Additionally, all of the female offenders in the Realignment report are under some form of supervision following release (i.e., parole or PRCS) so these offenders may have higher recidivism rates as well due to increased supervision. Whereas, the 2013 Outcome Evaluation FY 2008 – 2009 cohort, on the other hand, had approximately 1,000 discharges which are not subject to any form of supervision so that may have lowered recidivism rates for this group. Finally, this report only covers a part of the impact of realignment, because it focuses on those female offenders released from prison and returning to prison, but does not evaluate the impact of female offenders who are released from prison and are subsequently returned to local jails. 6 Conclusion Overall, this report shows that there is very little difference between female offenders and their outcomes following release after completing their State prison term pre- and post-Realignment. While the number of female offenders being processed did decline, the rates of the different outcomes studied are similar as are the demographic characteristics for each cohort. The only exception to this is for returns to prison, which is to be expected since Realignment fundamentally changed the types of offenses and offenders that can be returned to prison. The one-year arrest rates in the first year of Realignment were slightly higher for the post-Realignment cohort than for the pre-Realignment cohort, but the one-year conviction rates 15 Offenses eligible for revocation back to State prison are defined in PC § 3000(b) (4), 3000.08(h), and 3000.1. 20 Realignment Report May 2014 were slightly lower. For both cohorts, there was a gradual decrease in the arrest rates in the months that followed release. In addition, felonies (property and drug/alcohol) were the most common type of offense for which offenders were re-arrested in both cohorts, followed by supervision violations, and then misdemeanor offenses. And, of the female offenders who were arrested, pre-Realignment offenders were much more likely to be arrested once, while post-Realignment offenders were more likely to have been arrested two or more times. Post-Realignment conviction rates also gradually declined after November 2011 and remained lower than the pre-Realignment rates through the end of the study period with the exception of one month (June). There was a shift in the type of convictions offenders are receiving, with a higher proportion of felony convictions occurring post-Realignment, primarily due to increases in “Felony Property” convictions. Most offenders were not re-convicted within one year, and post-Realignment female offenders were slightly less likely than were pre-Realignment offenders to be convicted once. The low percentage of female offenders likely to have two or more new convictions was similar across both cohorts. Finally, very few offenders who are released from State prison were returned to State prison within the first year of being released. From October 2011 through September 2012, overall, an average of 2.6 percent of female offenders returned to State prison within one year of release post-Realignment. This is 17.6 percentage points lower than the pre-Realignment return to prison rates (20.3 percent). In 2010, 25.2 percent of the pre-Realignment cohort returned to prison for a new term and the remaining 74.8 percent returned for a parole violation. Post-Realignment, all female offenders who returned did so due to a new conviction. 21 Realignment Report May 2014 References Bloom, B., Owen, B., & Covington, S. (2002). Gender-responsive strategies: Research, practice and guiding principles for women offenders. Washington D.C.: National Institute of Corrections. Retrieved from http://static.nicic.gov/Library/018017.pdf California Association of Drug Court Professionals. (2012). The future of California corrections, p. 26. Retrieved from http://www.cadcp.org/the-future-of-cdc/ Covington, S. S., & Bloom, B. E. (2006). Gender-responsive treatment and services in correctional settings. In E. Leeder’s (Ed.). Women and Therapy, 29(3/4), pp. 9-33. Retrieved from http://casat.unr.edu/docs/CovingtonandBloomGenderresponsivetreatmentandservicesinc orrectionalsettings.pdf Glaze, L. E., & Maruschak, L. M. (2008, August). Parents in prison and their minor children. Bureau of Justice Statistics, Special Report, (NCJ 222984). Retrieved from http://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/pptmc.pdf Hardyman, P. L., & Van Voorhis, P. (2004). Developing gender-specific classification systems for women offenders. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, National Institute of Corrections. Retrieved from http://static.nicic.gov/Library/018931.pdf Saar, M. S., Bisnott, B., and Mathon-Mathieu, F. (2010). Mothers behind bars: A state-by-state report card and analysis of federal policies on conditions of confinement for pregnant and parenting women and the effect on their children. National Women’s Law Center: Expanding the Possibilities & The Rebecca Project for Human Rights. Retrieved from http://www.nwlc.org/resource/mothers-behind-bars-state-state-report-card-and-analysisfederal-policies-conditions-confin 22 Realignment Report May 2014 Wright, E. M., Van Voorhis, P., Salisbury, E. J., & Bauman, A. (2012). Gender-responsive lessons learned and policy implications for women in prison: A review. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 39, 1612-1631. Retrieved from http://cjb.sagepub.com/content/39/12/1612 23 Realignment Report 24 May 2014 Appendix A One-Year Arrest Rates by County of Release Pre-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2010 and 9/30/2011) and Post-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2011 and 9/30/2012) PRE-REALIGNMENT POST-REALIGNMENT COUNTY Alameda Alpine Amador Butte Calaveras Colusa Contra Costa Del Norte El Dorado Fresno Glenn Humboldt Imperial Inyo Kern Kings Lake Lassen Los Angeles Madera Marin Mariposa Mendocino Merced Modoc Mono Monterey Napa Nevada Orange Placer Plumas Riverside Sacramento San Benito San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Joaquin RELEASED ARRESTED RATE RELEASED ARRESTED RATE 157 0 12 69 3 2 69 3 28 300 6 34 22 2 378 88 17 4 2,469 30 10 0 17 58 0 0 84 14 8 618 47 2 546 382 13 851 592 86 190 80 0 4 33 0 2 36 1 12 148 3 18 10 1 187 32 10 1 999 15 4 0 10 21 0 0 36 6 5 337 24 0 274 183 5 385 283 52 106 51.0% N/A N/A 47.8% N/A N/A 52.2% N/A N/A 49.3% N/A 52.9% N/A N/A 49.5% 36.4% N/A N/A 40.5% 50.0% N/A N/A N/A 36.2% N/A N/A 42.9% N/A N/A 54.5% 51.1% N/A 50.2% 47.9% N/A 45.2% 47.8% 60.5% 55.8% 70 0 8 60 4 1 44 2 13 187 1 24 9 1 240 46 2 4 1,651 18 5 0 10 19 0 1 60 6 6 290 26 4 341 228 8 530 380 47 111 36 0 1 30 0 0 23 0 3 93 0 14 4 1 119 24 1 2 803 11 0 0 4 7 0 0 30 3 1 159 11 1 146 111 2 249 193 29 47 51.4% N/A N/A 50.0% N/A N/A 52.3% N/A N/A 49.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A 49.6% 52.2% N/A N/A 48.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50.0% N/A N/A 54.8% N/A N/A 42.8% 48.7% N/A 47.0% 50.8% 61.7% 42.3% CHANGE FROM PREREALIGNMENT RATE TO POST-REALIGNMENT RATE 0.5% N/A N/A 2.2% N/A N/A 0.1% N/A N/A 0.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.1% 15.8% N/A N/A 8.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 7.1% N/A N/A 0.3% N/A N/A -7.4% 0.8% N/A 1.7% 3.0% 1.2% -13.4% Realignment Report May 2014 Appendix A One-Year Arrest Rates by County of Release Pre-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2010 and 9/30/2011) and Post-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2011 and 9/30/2012) 16 (Continued) PRE-REALIGNMENT POST-REALIGNMENT COUNTY San Luis Obispo San Mateo Santa Barbara Santa Clara Santa Cruz Shasta Sierra Siskiyou Solano Sonoma Stanislaus Sutter Tehama Trinity Tulare Tuolumne Ventura Yolo Yuba RELEASED ARRESTED RATE RELEASED ARRESTED RATE 42 68 88 284 31 82 0 6 110 42 144 41 33 3 123 2 129 61 40 17 40 52 123 18 29 0 3 59 24 71 20 11 0 63 1 72 32 18 40.5% 58.8% 59.1% 43.3% 58.1% 35.4% N/A N/A 53.6% 57.1% 49.3% 48.8% 33.3% N/A 51.2% N/A 55.8% 52.5% 45.0% 24 38 63 142 17 65 0 3 45 34 84 26 21 2 80 6 60 35 30 13 19 34 60 10 18 0 1 24 14 49 10 5 0 43 3 32 14 12 N/A 50.0% 54.0% 42.3% N/A 27.7% N/A N/A 53.3% 41.2% 58.3% N/A N/A N/A 53.8% N/A 53.3% 40.0% 40.0% CHANGE FROM PREREALIGNMENT RATE TO POST-REALIGNMENT RATE N/A -8.8% -5.1% -1.1% N/A -7.7% N/A N/A -0.3% -16.0% 9.0% N/A N/A N/A 2.5% N/A -2.5% -12.5% -5.0% Continued 16 Recidivism rates not calculated when fewer than 30 inmates were released. 25 Realignment Report May 2014 Appendix B One-Year Conviction Rates by County of Release Pre-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2010 and 9/30/2011) and Post-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2011 and 9/30/2012) PRE-REALIGNMENT POST-REALIGNMENT COUNTY RELEASED CONVICTED Alameda Alpine Amador Butte Calaveras Colusa Contra Costa Del Norte El Dorado Fresno Glenn Humboldt Imperial Inyo Kern Kings Lake Lassen Los Angeles Madera Marin Mariposa Mendocino Merced Modoc Mono Monterey Napa Nevada Orange Placer Plumas Riverside Sacramento San Benito San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Joaquin 157 0 12 69 3 2 69 3 28 300 6 34 22 2 378 88 17 4 2,469 30 10 0 17 58 0 0 84 14 8 618 47 2 546 382 13 851 592 86 190 30 0 1 12 0 1 10 1 3 30 2 12 5 1 90 7 4 1 433 5 2 0 3 1 0 0 16 1 2 184 9 0 75 75 1 131 77 11 31 RATE 19.1% N/A N/A 17.4% N/A N/A 14.5% N/A N/A 10.0% N/A 35.3% N/A N/A 23.8% 8.0% N/A N/A 17.5% 16.7% N/A N/A N/A 1.7% N/A N/A 19.0% N/A N/A 29.8% 19.1% N/A 13.7% 19.6% N/A 15.4% 13.0% 12.8% 16.3% RELEASED CONVICTED 70 0 8 60 4 1 44 2 13 187 1 24 9 1 240 46 2 4 1,651 18 5 0 10 19 0 1 60 6 6 290 26 4 341 228 8 530 380 47 111 11 0 0 10 0 0 4 0 1 24 0 6 2 0 62 9 0 0 296 6 0 0 2 0 0 0 8 1 1 78 2 0 48 45 0 63 25 7 19 RATE 15.7% N/A N/A 16.7% N/A N/A 9.1% N/A N/A 12.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A 25.8% 19.6% N/A N/A 17.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 13.3% N/A N/A 26.9% N/A N/A 14.1% 19.7% N/A 11.9% 6.6% 14.9% 17.1% CHANGE FROM PREREALIGNMENT RATE TO POST-REALIGNMENT RATE -3.4% N/A N/A -0.7% N/A N/A -5.4% N/A N/A 2.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A 2.0% 11.6% N/A N/A 0.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -5.7% N/A N/A -2.9% N/A N/A 0.3% 0.1% N/A -3.5% -6.4% 2.1% 0.8% 26 Realignment Report May 2014 Appendix B One-Year Conviction Rates by County of Release Pre-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2010 and 9/30/2011) and Post-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2011 and 9/30/2012) 17 (Continued) PRE-REALIGNMENT POST-REALIGNMENT COUNTY RELEASED CONVICTED San Luis Obispo San Mateo Santa Barbara Santa Clara Santa Cruz Shasta Sierra Siskiyou Solano Sonoma Stanislaus Sutter Tehama Trinity Tulare Tuolumne Ventura Yolo Yuba 42 68 88 284 31 82 0 6 110 42 144 41 33 3 123 2 129 61 40 6 12 19 59 7 12 0 1 19 13 23 10 3 0 26 0 35 9 9 RATE 14.3% 17.6% 21.6% 20.8% 22.6% 14.6% N/A N/A 17.3% 31.0% 16.0% 24.4% 9.1% N/A 21.1% N/A 27.1% 14.8% 22.5% RELEASED CONVICTED 24 38 63 142 17 65 0 3 45 34 84 26 21 2 80 6 60 35 30 2 8 18 24 3 4 0 0 11 9 19 2 2 0 19 1 11 3 6 RATE N/A 21.1% 28.6% 16.9% N/A 6.2% N/A N/A 24.4% 26.5% 22.6% N/A N/A N/A 23.8% N/A 18.3% 8.6% 20.0% CHANGE FROM PREREALIGNMENT RATE TO POST-REALIGNMENT RATE N/A 3.4% 7.0% -3.9% N/A -8.5% N/A N/A 7.2% -4.5% 6.6% N/A N/A N/A 2.6% N/A -8.8% -6.2% -2.5% Continued 17 Recidivism rates not calculated when fewer than 30 inmates were released. 27 Realignment Report May 2014 Appendix C One-Year Return to Prison Rates by County of Release Pre-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2010 and 9/30/2011) and Post-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2011 and 9/30/2012) PRE-REALIGNMENT POST-REALIGNMENT COUNTY RELEASED RETURNED Alameda Alpine Amador Butte Calaveras Colusa Contra Costa Del Norte El Dorado Fresno Glenn Humboldt Imperial Inyo Kern Kings Lake Lassen Los Angeles Madera Marin Mariposa Mendocino Merced Modoc Mono Monterey Napa Nevada Orange Placer Plumas Riverside Sacramento San Benito San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Joaquin 157 0 12 69 3 2 69 3 28 300 6 34 22 2 378 88 17 4 2,469 30 10 0 17 58 0 0 84 14 8 618 47 2 546 382 13 851 592 86 190 27 0 2 15 0 1 11 0 3 92 0 5 4 1 90 17 2 0 324 10 3 0 5 10 0 0 10 1 4 140 15 0 149 115 2 187 142 26 56 RATE 17.2% N/A N/A 21.7% N/A N/A 15.9% N/A N/A 30.7% N/A 14.7% N/A N/A 23.8% 19.3% N/A N/A 13.1% 33.3% N/A N/A N/A 17.2% N/A N/A 11.9% N/A N/A 22.7% 31.9% N/A 27.3% 30.1% N/A 22.0% 24.0% 30.2% 29.5% RELEASED RETURNED 70 0 8 60 4 1 44 2 13 187 1 24 9 1 240 46 2 4 1,651 18 5 0 10 19 0 1 60 6 6 290 26 4 341 228 8 530 380 47 111 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 0 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9 1 0 15 5 0 13 9 0 4 RATE 2.9% N/A N/A 0.0% N/A N/A 4.5% N/A N/A 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.8% 4.3% N/A N/A 3.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3.3% N/A N/A 3.1% N/A N/A 4.4% 2.2% N/A 2.5% 2.4% 0.0% 3.6% CHANGE FROM PREREALIGNMENT RATE TO POST-REALIGNMENT RATE -14.3% N/A N/A -21.7% N/A N/A -11.4% N/A N/A -30.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A -23.0% -15.0% N/A N/A -9.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -8.6% N/A N/A -19.6% N/A N/A -22.9% -27.9% N/A -19.5% -21.6% -30.2% -25.9% Continued 28 Realignment Report May 2014 Appendix C One-Year Return to Prison Rates by County of Release Pre-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2010 and 9/30/2011) and Post-Realignment (Released between 10/01/2011 and 9/30/2012) 18 (Continued) PRE-REALIGNMENT POST-REALIGNMENT COUNTY RELEASED RETURNED San Luis Obispo San Mateo Santa Barbara Santa Clara Santa Cruz Shasta Sierra Siskiyou Solano Sonoma Stanislaus Sutter Tehama Trinity Tulare Tuolumne Ventura Yolo Yuba 18 42 68 88 284 31 82 0 6 110 42 144 41 33 3 123 2 129 61 40 11 20 18 47 6 11 0 1 21 8 38 7 5 0 29 0 22 11 8 RATE 26.2% 29.4% 20.5% 16.5% 19.4% 13.4% N/A N/A 19.1% 19.0% 26.4% 17.1% 15.2% N/A 23.6% N/A 17.1% 18.0% 20.0% RELEASED RETURNED 24 38 63 142 17 65 0 3 45 34 84 26 21 2 80 6 60 35 30 0 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 RATE N/A 5.3% 1.6% 2.1% N/A 0.0% N/A N/A 0.0% 2.9% 1.2% N/A N/A N/A 2.5% N/A 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% Recidivism rates not calculated when fewer than 30 inmates were released. CHANGE FROM PREREALIGNMENT RATE TO POST-REALIGNMENT RATE N/A -24.1% -18.9% -14.4% N/A -13.4% N/A N/A -19.1% -16.1% -25.2% N/A N/A N/A -21.1% N/A -17.1% -18.0% -16.7% 29